Date Received: 04-10-2013
Date Accepted: 29-10-2013
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Lý thuyết mới về đầu tư trực tiếp từ nước ngoài: Bằng chứng kiểm định từ trường hợp của Việt Nam
Keywords
FDI, mô hình lực hấp dẫn, phương pháp ước lượng Hausman-Taylor, Việt Nam
Abstract
Đầu tư trực tiếp nước ngoài (FDI) ngày càng trở nên quan trọng trong quá trình phát triển của Việt Nam. Sau hơn hai thập kỷ kể từ khi tiến hành đổi mới năm 1986, đất nước đã thu hút được một lượng lớn vốn FDI lên tới 229.913,7 triệu USD. Nghiên cứu này sử dụng mô hình lực hấp dẫn và phương pháp ước lượng Hausman-Taylor để kiểm tra xem liệu chỉ số tương đồng về quy mô kinh tế có thúc đẩy các dòng vốn FDI vào Việt Nam hay không. Vấn đề này có thể chưa được đề cập trong các nghiên cứu trước đây cho trường hợp của Việt Nam. Kết quả thực nghiệm cho thấy chỉ số này thúc đẩy mạnh mẽ các luồng vốn FDI vào Việt Nam. Nói cách khác, Việt Nam có xu hướng nhận được nhiều vốn FDI từ các đối tác có “quy mô kinh tế và trình độ phát triển tương đồng”. Kết quả này củng cố cho lý thuyết mới về FDI tại các nền kinh tế mới nổi.
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